Deepmind's Hassabis slashes AGI timeline to 2-3 years
demis hassabis now believes agi could arrive within two to three years, down from three to five years earlier this year. this change affects the ai research community and raises stakes for agi development.
demis hassabis, founder of google deepmind and nobel laureate in chemistry, now believes artificial general intelligence agi could arrive within two to three years. previously, he estimated three to five years. hassabis defines agi as a system matching the full cognitive range of the human brain. he uses the 'einstein test' to gauge progress: could a system trained only on pre-1901 knowledge reproduce einstein's 1905 papers. hassabis has compared agi's impact to '10 times the industrial revolution at 10 times the speed.'